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What Do the NATO Summit and the Brexit Process Mean?

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Brussels is hosting the leaders’ summit of 29 NATO-member countries, one of the most troubling summits of the organization’s history the peaks in the history of the organization. There are dozens of reasons for this trouble but only one of them is enough to understand: US President Donald Trump. Because the NATO Summit has already been a stage of crises before the US and the “others” before it begins.

It is expected that President Trump will put similar NATO bills as he had done during the visit of the Chancellor of Germany, Angela Me13rkel to Washington in front of some of the other alliance members. As a matter of fact, when we look at the main points of the Summit and especially the message that Trump is sharing from his social media account before the summit, this is clearly visible.

The Brussels Summit takes place under six main headings: “Strengthening Deterrence and Defense”, “Combating Terrorism and Stabilization”, “Strengthening Cooperation with the European Union (EU)”, “Modernizing NATO”, “Sharing More Equitable Responsibility”, “Common Values and the Transatlantic Union”.

In fact, two main agenda items can be mentioned here: the first is the future of US-EU relations and its reflection on NATO. The latter is “responsibility sharing”. At the summit, the first issue, is under the title “Strengthening Cooperation with the EU”. This title is equivalent to the official announcement of the breakdown between the US and the EU. The second issue is giving the message of “now it’s time to pay up” to EU member States, particularly Germany, under the name of “Sharing More Equitable Responsibility”.

The USA is in the pursuit of “New Trout” …

In fact, Trump is sending a letter to nine NATO members before the Summit to increase their defense spending and shares the following message from his social media account: “The US is contributing much more to NATO than all its allies. This is unfair and unacceptable.”

Europe and at this point, EU Member States are forced to pay the US as a guarantee for their security, such as the Gulf states. In the fact Trump’s promoting the Russian threat through the Crimea and the East Ukraine and keeping this on the agenda based on this subtle account. Russian threat in Europe, Iran in the Gulf; If you believe this of course…

The treatment for EU member States here is actually the same with the treatment for the Gulf countries until yesterday. The EU is now a second Gulf, a new trout that should be cleaned for the US.

In the meantime, the phrase “captive” Trump uses for Germany is not so wrong. But there is a need for a slight correction. What needs to be corrected is that Germany is the prisoner of the US, not Russia.

Well, doesn’t Trump know that? Of course, he knows. In fact, Trump says they are aware that Germany is trying to pursue a policy to be more independent with Russia’s support, but they will not allow it. So, Trump is also indirectly expressing that they will not tolerate a second Turkey-Russia relationship process.

What if these nine members, especially Germany, refuse to pay more? That’s not too difficult to answer. First of all, the way for the Russian tanks will be opened and the Europe will turn into a new address of the “international terrorist organizations” that they have somehow supported. What if they try? or look at the examples that are available …

Another Name for the Process of Distressed Divorce from the EU: Brexit

He thought it would be very easy when the British people showed a will to leave the EU. But as the developments has got one prime minister (David Cameron) into trouble are about to get another one (Theresa May) as well.

In fact, “Brexit resignations” in Britain continues. The political crisis can deepen further. So, why the British people (and the government) wanted to exit before, and now they says not to exit or at least the exit process be soft? Actually, the answer is not very difficult. In short, if necessary to explain…

The first issue is of course based on economic reasons. In a more tangible statement, the 2008 crisis and its reflections to Britain have an important place in Brexit. With this crisis, the British people in fact saw that the EU was not an economic power as exaggerated at all. However, the EU was being introduced as an economic giant to the whole world. It is understood that the giant is not the EU, but Germany… Therefore, Britain was concerned that this crisis may have a number of negative reflections on it.

The second issue is; it was the fast return to the nation-state process that affected the whole world and had an impact on the EU as well. Quickly transition to ascension of xenophobia, racism and Islamophobia in Europe, the collapse of the “EU neighborhood policy” along with the refugee floods, and the security issues emerging in Europe seem to have pushed Britain into an assessment in this direction. Britain seems to have terminated its membership in order not to be caught unprepared for the new process, foreseeing that the EU could not continue in this context any longer.

The third issue is; He saw that the EU was actually part of Germany’s policy toward the West and that Britain was used here too. Britain seems to have sought a deeper co-operation with the rest of Europe by increasing the Eastern European weight of Germany’s opposition within the EU, accelerating the EU’s disintegration process.

The fourth issue is; Britain wanted to take part here as part of a multi-polar world in the new international system, along with the weakening power of the US. In other words, the UK’s account was to act more independently of the EU and the US, relying on its Commonwealth to become a pole in the new Yalta process.

So, why is England twisting now?

I’ll say. First, he realized that he was not an economically powerful. Moreover, he saw the result of separation from the EU. In the meantime, we should not forget the Trump factor. The UK felt that the losing US could harm itself as well. So, the UK has understood that it had taken an untimely step and now follows a policy to save time.

So, in the face of all these developments, what is the attitude of Brussels, or rather, Berlin? Let us also say: to keep the UK under the control of the EU umbrella, at any cost, and to prevent it from developing common policies with the US. So, this Brexit process is more controversial …

Prof. Dr. Mehmet Seyfettin EROL
Prof. Dr. Mehmet Seyfettin EROL
Born in 1969, Dörtyol-Hatay, Prof. Dr. Mehmet Seyfettin Erol graduated from Boğaziçi University (BU), Department of Political Science and International Relations in 1993. After completing his master's degree at BU in 1995, Erol was accepted to the PhD program at BU in the same year. After completing his PhD at Ankara University in 2005, Erol became an associate professor in the field of “International Relations” in 2009 and a professor in 2014. Erol worked at the Eurasian Center for Strategic Studies (ASAM) between 2000 and 2006 and and served as the General Coordinator of ASAM for a period. In 2009, he served as also Founding Chairman and Board Member of the Institute for Strategic Thinking (SDE). He is also the Founding President of the Center for International Strategy and Security Studies (USGAM) and the President of the International Relations Institute of the New Türkiye Strategic Research Center (YTSAM). Prof. Erol has also served as the Director of Gazi University Strategic Research Center (GAZISAM). In 2007, Prof. Erol received the “Turkish World Service Award” from the Writers and Artists Foundation of the Turkic World (TÜRKSAV), and has received numerous awards for his academic work and his activities in the media. Some of them can be listed as follows: 2013 “Print Media of the Year Award” by the Association of Contemporary Democrats, 2015 “APM 10th Year Service Award”, “2015 Press-Intellectual of the Year Award” by the Writers' Union of Türkiye (YTB), “2016 Volunteer Ambassadors Media Honor Award” by the Anatolian Village Guards and Martyrs' Families, “2016 Türkiye Honor Award” by the Yoruk Turkmen Federations. Prof. Erol has 15 book studies. The names of some of them are as follows: “The United States of Turks from Dream to Reality”, “Türkiye-EU Relations: Foreign Policy and Internal Structure Problems”, “The New Great Game in Eurasia”, “The Search for Strategy in Turkish Foreign Policy”, “The Search for Security in Turkish Foreign Policy”, “The Republic of Türkiye-Russian Federation Relations”, “The Cold Organization of Hot Peace: The New NATO”, “Theoretical Approaches in Foreign Policy Analysis: The Case of Turkish Foreign Policy”, “Crises and Crisis Management: Actors and Case Studies”, “Kazakhstan” and “Current Issues in International Relations”. Since 2002, Prof. Erol, who has carried out radio programs such as “Eurasia Agenda”, “Strategic Perspective”, “Global Perspective”, “Analysis”, “File”, “News Desk”, “The Other Side of the Agenda” on TRT Türkiye's voice and TRT Radio 1 (Ankara Radio), made the programs “Arayış” on TRT INT television between 2004-2007, “Beyond the Border” on Kanal A television between 2007-2010 and “Foreign Policy Agenda” on BBN TÜRK television in 2020-2021. Prof. Erol, whose foreign policy column “Arayış” was published in Milli Gazete between 2012-2018, is consulted for his expertise in numerous national and international media outlets such as television, radio, newspapers, news websites and magazines. Prof. Erol, who also taught at Gazi University Department of International Relations and Ankara University Latin American Studies Center (LAMER) between 2006-2018, has been continuing his academic career as a faculty member at Ankara Hacı Bayram Veli University Department of International Relations since 2018. Since 2006, Prof. Erol has also taught in the Department of Political Science and International Relations at Ufuk University. The main areas of interest and expertise of Prof. Erol and the titles of his courses at the undergraduate, master's and doctoral levels in this area are as follows: “Geopolitics”, “Security”, “Intelligence”, “Crisis Management”, “Current Issues in International Relations”, “Turkish Foreign Policy”, “Russian Foreign Policy”, “US Foreign Policy” and “Central Asia and South Asia”. Prof. Erol, whose articles-evaluations have been published in many journals and newspapers, has been editor of academic journals such as “Eurasia File”, “Strategic Analysis”, “Strategic Thinking”, “Gazi Regional Studies”, “The Journal of SSPS”, “Black Sea Studies”. He is currently in the editorial boards of “Regional Studies,” “International Crisis and Political Research,” “Gazi Academic View”, “Ege University Turkish World Surveys”, “Ankara International Social Sciences”, “Democracy Platform”. Prof. Erol, who has been working as the Founding President of the Ankara Center for Crisis and Political Studies (ANKASAM) since 2016, is married and has three children.