Analysis

Türkiye’s Becoming the 12th Dialog Partner of ASEAN: Safe Haven, Connectivity and Asia Anew

Türkiye’s ASEAN Dialog Partnership is poised to be the most concrete institutional test of the Asia Anew Initiative on a global scale.
There are many countries in the region where Türkiye needs to further advance its relations.
Dialog partnership is not a destination, but rather a starting point that will gain meaning if evaluated with the right tools.

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With the decision made at the 59th Meeting of the ASEAN Foreign Ministers held in Manila, Türkiye has been granted the status of ASEAN Dialog Partner as of July 21, 2026. This development, announced by Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan, elevates Türkiye to the highest status immediately following membership, a status that has only been granted to 11 countries to date.

This step, which may seem like a technical diplomatic promotion at first glance, has actually occurred due to many different factors. Especially at a point where three different dynamics intersect, a transition to a more prioritized partner status is taking place. These 3 important dynamics are: the new momentum achieved in Türkiye-US relations, the maturation of a sixteen-year economic partnership, and the transformation of the Asia Anew Initiative into a systematic foreign policy vision.

Safe Haven Status: What the NATO Summit and the Hormuz Crisis Showed

Evaluating Türkiye’s achievement with ASEAN independently of the regional and global context would be an incomplete reading. The NATO Summit held in Ankara in July and the subsequent resurgence of the Strait of Hormuz Crisis have once again demonstrated that Türkiye is not only a NATO ally but also an actor producing stability in a region where the great powers’ conflicts of interest are intensifying. In this process, the participation of US President Donald Trump in the summit and the renewed dynamism in Türkiye-US relations have strengthened Ankara’s position as a “safe haven” in the face of regional crises. It is no coincidence that the period when ASEAN decided to accept Türkiye as a dialog partner coincided with a time when Ankara reaffirmed its position within the Western alliance; reliability and predictability are among the fundamental criteria behind institutional statuses like dialog partnership.

The Economic Counterpart of a Sixteen-Year Partnership

The second dynamic is the result of a patient and gradual institutionalization process. Türkiye has held the status of a ‘sectoral’ dialog partner with ASEAN since 2010. At that time, the Türkiye-ASEAN trade volume was approximately 6.5 billion dollars, and after sixteen years, it has risen to 16 billion dollars.[i] This increase can be interpreted as a result rather than a sole reason for the dialog partnership. ASEAN has viewed Türkiye as a partner that has established an organic economic relationship with the region and has shaped its status elevation accordingly. The opening of an institutional dialog channel with a region that has a population of approximately 700 million and an economic size exceeding 4 trillion dollars[ii] offers a new framework for the Turkish private sector and defense industry as well. However, the transformation of this potential into a real leap depends on the dialog partnership not remaining merely a symbolic status but being converted into concrete investments, trade facilitation, and supply chain projects.

Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Vietnam, and Singapore: The Region’s Centers of Gravity

How the dialog partnership will function in practice largely depends on the depth of the relationship established with the centers of gravity within ASEAN (Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Vietnam, and Singapore) in terms of Türkiye’s relations. Türkiye’s main trading partners within ASEAN, in terms of overall trade volume, are Malaysia, Vietnam, Indonesia, Thailand, and Singapore.[iii]

Indonesia, the most populous and largest economy in the region, serves as a kind of “aircraft carrier” for Türkiye due to its geographical proximity to China, Malaysia, Singapore, and one of the most populous countries in the region, the Philippines, as well as its de facto leading position within ASEAN; the trade volume between the two countries is approaching the 3 billion dollar mark, and defense cooperation agreements have also been approved by the Jakarta Parliament.

Relations with Malaysia have transformed into a multidimensional partnership extending from the defense industry (drone export) to energy, thanks to the critical position of the Strait of Malacca in global maritime trade and the close political ties established by Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim with Ankara.

Singapore, on the other hand, serves as a strategic gateway for Türkiye’s access to financial and logistics networks in the region, being the first stop on President Erdoğan’s Asia tour. Especially, the open stance of these three countries toward Türkiye significantly prepares the necessary political ground for the dialog partnership to move beyond a theoretical status and transform into concrete projects.

The Test of the Asia Anew Initiative

The fourth and perhaps the most structural dynamic is to interpret this development as a result of the Asia Anew Initiative announced in 2019. The initiative did not represent a new shift in Turkish foreign policy, but rather an assertion of placing the existing historical and economic ties with Asia into a more systematic and holistic framework. The ASEAN dialog partnership is a concrete institutional counterpart to this claim: The “opening up to Asia” discourse, which was a declaration of intent at the beginning of the initiative, has transformed into a measurable diplomatic gain six years later. In this regard, the development serves as a case where Türkiye’s multifaceted foreign policy discourse (the claim of simultaneously engaging the Europe, Eurasia, and Asia-Pacific axes) can be observed.

The fact that the majority of the population in Malaysia and Indonesia is Muslim is also a factor that cannot be overlooked in terms of solidarity. However, the populations of ASEAN countries belong to different religions. Unlike Europe, there is not a dominant religion or its culture in the ASEAN countries. The similarities between ASEAN countries and the European Union are their linguistic and cultural differences. Southeast Asian countries also have different linguistic and cultural structures, just like European countries.

General Assessment and Conclusion

Türkiye becoming a new dialog partner of ASEAN is a moment where a short-term diplomatic success intersects with a long-term structural orientation. While short-term shocks like the NATO Summit and the Hormuz Crisis have confirmed Türkiye’s regional reliability, long-term structural processes such as the sixteen-year commercial partnership, the political capital accumulated in the Indonesia-Malaysia-Singapore triangle, and the Asia Anew Initiative have made it possible for this reliability to transform into an institutional status. The next question is to what extent Ankara can translate this status into concrete projects in the fields of connectivity, supply chain diversification, and defense industry cooperation in Southeast Asia. In conclusion, the dialog partnership is not a destination, but rather a starting point that will gain meaning if evaluated with the right tools. There are many countries in the region with which Türkiye needs to further advance its relations.


[i] “Türkiye becomes ASEAN’s 12th dialogue partner”, Anadolu Ajansı, https://www.aa.com.tr/en/turkiye/turkiye-becomes-aseans-12th-dialogue-partner/4004935, (Date Accessed: 27.07.2026); “Bakan Fidan, Türkiye’nin ASEAN Diyalog Ortağı olarak kabul edildiğini duyurdu”, Anadolu Ajansı, https://www.aa.com.tr/tr/gundem/bakan-fidan-turkiyenin-asean-diyalog-ortagi-olarak-kabul-edildigini-duyurdu/4004796, (Date Accessed: 27.07.2026).

[ii] Ibid.

[iii] T.C. Dışişleri Bakanlığı, “Yeniden Asya Girişimi”, https://www.mfa.gov.tr/yeniden-asya-girisimi.tr.mfa, (Date Accessed: 27.07.2026).

Doç. Dr. Ali Oğuz DİRİÖZ
Doç. Dr. Ali Oğuz DİRİÖZ
Prof. Dr. Ali Oğuz Diriöz, Associate Professor of International Relations, is a full-time faculty member in the Department of International Entrepreneurship at TOBB University of Economics and Technology. His research interests include International Political Economy, Globalization, Energy and Water Security. He was previously part of the Euromesco network working group on Water Security in the Middle East (funded by the EU) and is the author of the chapter in the 15th EuroMesco Joint Policy Study on Water Security (2020). Some of his publications include; "Prospects for Natural Gas Organization in Light of Qatar's OPEC Exit" The Extractive Industries and Society (2021); and "The Strategic Context of the UAE's Nuclear Project: A Model for the Region?" Middle East Policy. Dr. Diriöz previously worked as a consultant for the World Bank on the State of Water Sector Regulation in the Middle East and North Africa (June 2017). In 2017, he authored the chapter on 'The State of Water Sector Regulation in Morocco' and co-authored the chapter on 'The State of Water Sector Regulation in Jordan' in the World Bank publication. He was a chapter author in the book project "Climate Change Law and Policy in the MENA region" edited by Prof. Olawuyi from HBKU, Qatar (Dr. Olawuyi, D., published by Routledge and published in June 2021). He has numerous national and international publications.

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