Analysis

A New Era in the U.S. Arctic Strategy

The Trump administration is shifting toward a “diplomacy of friendship” strategy to increase its influence over Greenland, rather than using harsh rhetoric.
The Greenlandic government is striving to maintain its sovereignty while sustaining relations with the U.S.
The Arctic region is becoming one of the most critical arenas of geopolitical competition between the U.S., Russia, and China.

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The United States’ (U.S.) interest in Greenland has once again become a major item on the global political agenda following Donald Trump’s return to the presidency. The visit to Nuuk by Jeff Landry, whom the Trump administration appointed as Special Representative for Greenland, is initially presented as a “goodwill” initiative aimed at strengthening diplomatic relations. However, considering the timing, content, and political backdrop of the visit, it becomes clear that this is not merely a symbolic diplomatic gesture. On the contrary, this visit is viewed as a new phase in the U.S. strategy to intensify geopolitical competition in the Arctic region and expand its influence over Greenland.

Jeff Landry’s statement during his visit to Greenland that he was there “to build relationships, listen, and learn” indicates that the Trump administration has opted for a softer diplomatic tone following the harsh rhetoric used in the previous period.[i] Indeed, Trump’s past explicit mention of the idea of purchasing Greenland—and even his statements that did not rule out military options—created a serious diplomatic crisis between the U.S. and Denmark. Greenland Prime Minister Jens-Frederik Nielsen’s reiteration of the statement “Greenland is not for sale” demonstrates that this sensitivity persists.[ii] 

In fact, the Greenland issue is not merely a symbolic debate over sovereignty. The region’s geostrategic location, natural resource potential, and military significance in the Arctic have made it one of the focal points of great power competition. In particular, the melting of Arctic ice due to global warming is opening up new sea routes and facilitating access to energy resources. This situation is increasingly accelerating Arctic competition among the U.S., Russia, and China.

From the U.S. perspective, Greenland’s importance stems largely from a national security standpoint. The island is situated at one of the strategic chokepoints between North America and Europe. Additionally, Thule Air Base, which plays a critical role in the U.S.’s early warning systems and missile defense infrastructure, is located in Greenland. Consequently, the Washington administration views increasing its influence over Greenland not only as an economic necessity but also as a military imperative.

One notable aspect of the approach adopted by the Trump administration in recent times is its emphasis on a “soft influence” strategy rather than direct pressure. In this context, Landry’s meetings with business leaders, his attendance at the opening of the new U.S. consulate building, and his messages regarding cooperation in the health sector are seen as part of Washington’s effort to foster a positive perception among the Greenlandic people.

However, it is evident that a significant lack of trust toward the U.S. has emerged within Greenlandic society. In particular, Trump’s aggressive rhetoric from the past has heightened sovereignty concerns among the island’s people. For this reason, the Trump administration’s new “diplomacy of friendship” strategy does not appear likely to succeed in the short term.

One of the issues that has drawn the most attention from Greenlandic politicians and local actors is the perception that the U.S. is attempting to “bypass” diplomatic processes. Landry’s visit to Greenland without an official invitation and his active diplomatic engagements on the ground while sensitive negotiations are ongoing have caused discomfort for the Danish and Greenlandic governments. This situation is interpreted as Washington attempting to expand its sphere of influence by establishing direct ties with the public and business circles beyond official negotiation mechanisms.

The Trump administration’s Greenland policy also carries significant messages from a domestic political perspective. Trump is seeking to reinforce his image as a leader who “aggressively defends American interests” in foreign policy. The Greenland issue also serves as a symbolic display of power aimed at voters in this context. Particularly among the Republican base, the view that tougher policies are needed against the growing influence of China and Russia in the Arctic is gaining traction. For this reason, establishing greater American influence over Greenland is viewed as one of the strategic extensions of Trump’s “America First” approach.

On the other hand, for Denmark, the issue is not merely a foreign policy crisis. Although Greenland is a semi-autonomous region under the Danish Crown, discussions about independence have been ongoing for a long time. The U.S.’s growing interest could indirectly influence independence movements in Greenland. This is because Washington’s economic and diplomatic investments hold the potential to reduce the island’s administration’s dependence on Copenhagen. However, while the Greenlandic administration seeks greater economic opportunities, it is also striving to avoid excessive U.S. influence.

In particular, the opening of the new U.S. consulate building is noteworthy from a symbolic perspective. The fact that some locals have dubbed the modern consulate building in Nuuk “Trump Towers” indicates that the U.S. presence is becoming increasingly visible. This development is interpreted not only as a strengthening of diplomatic representation but also as the establishment of a long-term geopolitical presence.

The Trump administration’s proposals for health aid and a hospital ship for Greenland are also drawing attention. Although the official narrative is based on humanitarian aid and health support, Greenlandic officials are approaching these initiatives with caution. Health Minister Anna Wangenheim’s description of American doctors’ attempts to conduct a “needs assessment” as “deeply problematic” reveals that aid diplomacy is viewed as a tool for political influence. [iii]

All these developments indicate that the Arctic region will become one of the most critical arenas of global competition in the coming years. Russia’s expansion of its northern military capabilities, China’s development of the “Near Arctic State” narrative, and the U.S.’s intensified focus on Greenland are accelerating the power struggle in the region. Despite having a population of only about 57,000, Greenland is at the center of the strategic calculations of major powers.[iv] 

In conclusion, Jeff Landry’s visit to Greenland carries far greater significance than a routine diplomatic engagement. The Trump administration is attempting to adopt a softer diplomatic tone rather than the harsh rhetoric of the past. However, the mistrust and sensitivity regarding sovereignty within Greenlandic society are making it difficult for Washington to achieve its objectives. Greenland continues to play a central role in the U.S. Arctic strategy, and diplomatic, economic, and military competition in the region is expected to intensify further in the coming period. In this process, Greenland remains not merely a small island but one of the symbolic and strategic centers of the global power struggle.


[i] Murray, Adrienne. “Trump’s Grönland Envoy Faces Uphill Battle on Mission to Make ‘Friends’”, BBC News, https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cze28ex3lexo, (Date Of Access: 24.05.2026).

[ii] Ibid.

[iii] Ibid.

[iv] Ibid.

Ali Caner İNCESU
Ali Caner İNCESU
Ali Caner İncesu graduated from Anadolu University Faculty of Business Administration in 2012. He continued his education with Cappadocia University Tourist Guidance associate degree program and graduated in 2017. In 2022, he successfully completed his master's degrees in International Relations at Hoca Ahmet Yesevi University and in Travel Management and Tourism Guidance at Ankara Hacı Bayram Veli University. In 2024, he graduated from the United States University of Maryland Global Campus (UMGC) Political Science undergraduate program. As of 2023, he continues his doctoral studies at Cappadocia University, Department of Political Science and International Relations. In 2022, Mr. İncesu worked as a special advisor at the Embassy of the Republic of Paraguay in Ankara. He is fluent in Spanish and English and is a sworn translator in English and Spanish. His research interests include Latin America, International Law and Tourism.

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