Analysis

Trump’s Pardon of Former Honduran President Juan Orlando Hernández

The timing of the pardon created a debate linked to the election process in Honduras.
In the context of the United States’ anti-drug policy, the symbolic impact of the pardon was questioned.
From the perspective of regional security balances, the long-term effects of the pardon are being closely monitored.

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The pardon of former Honduran president Juan Orlando Hernández after a long legal process in the United States has reopened debates about Latin America’s political dynamics and Washington’s regional approach. The fact that the U.S. administration, which supports strict measures against drug trafficking, approved such a pardon has raised serious questions among the public and experts.At the same time, this decision needs to be examined in a broader context, both in terms of the legal process and regional political balances.

In Central American countries such as Honduras, politics, security, and organized crime have historically been closely connected in a complex way. In Honduras, which was ruled by Hernández for two terms, both security institutions and much of the political system have long been under pressure from drug trafficking routes affecting the region. For this reason, the former president’s trial in the United States and most of the charges were seen as a result of this complex security structure. Testimonies and documents presented in the case showed that a large network had been active for many years.

After the former president was extradited to the United States, the trial process lasted about three weeks. The prosecution claimed that Hernández held an important position in a drug trafficking chain that extended from Honduras to the United States.[i] In the court decision, the activities of security units accused of protecting illegal drug shipments were explained in detail. However, the defense argued throughout the process that they were under political pressure and claimed that the accusations served certain political purposes.[ii] Especially in the letters written after the conviction, it was stated that some steps of the investigation were carried out under political influence.

The announcement of the pardon caused strong reactions both at home and abroad. In the statement announcing the pardon, it was said that the defendant may have faced some problems regarding the right to a fair trial. Because of the nature of past diplomatic relations between Honduras and the United States, this point was seen by some groups as an understandable reason. It is known that Hernández worked closely with Washington for many years and received U.S. support, especially in the areas of migration management and regional cooperation. For this reason, some analysts considered it possible to see the pardon as a continuation of this past cooperation.

In addition, the pardon also had effects on domestic political dynamics in HondurasThe former president’s party became visible again on the international stage at a very critical stage of the election process. This development was seen as something that could affect the course of political competition in Honduras. Especially when the search for diplomatic support by candidates from the same political line is considered, the timing of the pardon was closely linked to the election atmosphere. Some observers stated that the pardon could revive certain political groups in Honduras and that this could influence the balance of the elections.

Possible political motivations behind the pardon have also been discussed. The pardon of the former president was seen as a move linked to political activity in Central America and to the balance of power among certain parties in Honduras. It is also possible that the decision was based on Washington’s past cooperation with specific actors in the region and aimed at maintaining regional stability within a certain political framework. For this reason, the pardon was considered not only a legal decision but also the result of a strategic assessment.

The effects of the pardon in terms of regional interests have also been discussed. The United States has long seen Central America as a priority region for both migration management and security policies. Maintaining Washington’s influence over Honduras has been considered important for controlling migration flows, reducing the cross-border impact of organized crime, and supporting political stability in the region. For this reason, some evaluations suggested that the pardon aimed to strengthen relations with certain political actors in Honduras or to reshape the geopolitical position in the region. It was also stated that the pardon could be seen as part of Washington’s long-term engagement strategy in Central America and that it has the potential to affect future areas of cooperation.

The implications of the pardon in terms of international law have also been discussed.
Especially in states that follow strict policies against drug trafficking, overturning court decisions through such a broad pardon power may create problems that could set an example for future cases. However, it is well known that the president in the United States has very wide pardon powers, and the use of this authority is not legally easy to challenge. For this reason, the debates have mostly taken place on a political level. Some groups have argued that the relationship between the executive branch and the judicial process should be reconsidered.
In this context, the pardon has started a broader discussion not only as an individual legal decision but also about the balance of power between institutions.

On the other hand, the effects of the pardon across Latin America have also been discussed.
Many countries in the region believe that U.S. measures against organized crime and drug trafficking are directly linked to their own security priorities. For this reason, it was suggested that the pardon could send an unexpected message in some countries. It is known that in recent years the United States has increased its naval operations in the region and strengthened its military presence along certain routes. Taking this heavy operational role and strategic approach into account, some experts stated that the pardon could be seen by regional countries as a sign of political flexibility.

Political debates in Washington also intensified after this decision. Some commentators thought that the pardon showed that the executive branch was willing to reconsider previous judicial practices. It was stated that authorities can act within different political climates at certain times, and that this situation can affect how criminal processes are evaluated. The approved pardon created a wide debate in U.S. domestic politics about the limits of executive power and political responsibility. However, these debates continued mainly on a political level rather than within a legal framework.

In conclusion, the pardon given to Hernández did not produce only an individual legal outcome. It also had effects on Honduras’s domestic politics, U.S.–Latin America relations, and political balances in Washington. The direction in which the pardon will affect regional cooperation and security policies will become clearer over time. It is understood that both the future of Honduras’s internal political structure and the development of U.S. regional security strategies will be evaluated together with the results of this pardon.


[i] Yousif, Nadine. “What was Honduras ex-president convicted of and why has Trump pardoned him?” BBC, 2025, https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c9qewln7912o, (Date of Access: 14.12.2025).

[ii] Ibid.

Ali Caner İNCESU
Ali Caner İNCESU
Ali Caner İncesu graduated from Anadolu University Faculty of Business Administration in 2012. He continued his education with Cappadocia University Tourist Guidance associate degree program and graduated in 2017. In 2022, he successfully completed his master's degrees in International Relations at Hoca Ahmet Yesevi University and in Travel Management and Tourism Guidance at Ankara Hacı Bayram Veli University. In 2024, he graduated from the United States University of Maryland Global Campus (UMGC) Political Science undergraduate program. As of 2023, he continues his doctoral studies at Cappadocia University, Department of Political Science and International Relations. In 2022, Mr. İncesu worked as a special advisor at the Embassy of the Republic of Paraguay in Ankara. He is fluent in Spanish and English and is a sworn translator in English and Spanish. His research interests include Latin America, International Law and Tourism.

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