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Turkmenistan’s New Silk Road Policy

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Situated between Central Asia and Iran, Turkmenistan has a noteworthy strategic position. In other words, Turkmenistan is Iran’s gateway to Central Asia as well as a portal for Uzbekistan, Tajikistan and Afghanistan into the Caspian Sea. In this sense, Turkmenistan is at the centre of trade routes both in north-south and east-west direction. Conscious of the strategic position that the country possesses, the government is emphasising on developing trade and transportation routes characterised as the “New Silk Road”. In this regard, the declaration of the year 2018 as “Turkmenistan, the Heart of the Great Silk Road” by President Gurbanguly Berdimuhamedov is of utmost importance. Accordingly, the new Silk Road policy of Ashgabat needs scrutinising. Particularly the railway projects of the Turkmen administration are essential for the development of international trade.

To begin with, it is worth noting that the Turkmen foreign policy draws up a framework for the economic development of the country. In fact, being a neighbour to an unstable country like Afghanistan and sharing borders on land and at sea with Iran —which has tense relations with the United States since 1979 — has entailed Ashgabat to abstain from geopolitical contention. Taking into consideration such realities the government declared “permanent neutrality” on 12th December 1995 and was widely respected by the international community. With such stature, it was possible to focus on the prosperity of the country without being engaged in geopolitical and military encounters in the region. Within this scope, Ashgabat is developing cooperation with the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS), the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO), Economic Cooperation Organisation (ECO), as well as its neighbours within the Caspian Sea and the Turkic World, particularly with Turkey.

When regional and global geopolitical competition is considered, Turkmenistan is located at crossroads where the sphere of influences of Moscow, Beijing, Tehran and Ankara intersect one other. Moreover, none of these powerhouses wants Ashgabat to be under the influence of a country. Hence, regional and even global forces seem satisfied with the “permanent neutrality” legem of Turkmenistan. With the advantage provided by the impartial foreign policy, the Turkmen administration is focused on economic growth. In this context, it is possible to define Turkmen foreign policy as economy-indexed expedient.

As noted, Turkmenistan is a gateway between the Middle-East and Central Asia. In this connection, Sarakhs railway connection holds a key importance. The pass inaugurated in 1997 has become a valuable link in connecting Mediterranean and Pacific ports to one another. With this link, Iran is able to connect with Central Asia and China while the landlocked states in Central Asia network with the Persian Gulf through Iran and Europe via Turkey. Undoubtedly, the execution of such strategic project lies in the visionary understanding of the Turkmen administration.

The completion of the “China-Kazakhstan-Turkmenistan-Iran Railway” in 2014 and its induction by the President of Turkmenistan Gurbanguly Berdimuhamedov and President of Kazakhstan Nursultan Nazarbayev has accelerated trade in the east-west direction. The line which carries 12 million tons of cargo per year is also regarded as a part of the North-South Transport Corridor due to its link with Iranian railway network running in a north-south direction. Therefore, this route is vital for Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan in accessing international waters. Likewise, it connects Iran with Central Asia, Russia and more importantly Europe. For instance; on 27th December 2017, news agencies reported that a large fruit shipment departed from Pakistan and headed to Turkmenistan and Kazakhstan through Iran. This event was considered as the beginning of a new transit corridor to transport food products from Southeast Asia to countries like Russia.

It is critical to conceive that the “China-Kazakhstan-Turkmenistan-Iran Railway” is part of the “Road-Belt Initiative” announced by Beijing in 2013. In this sense, Turkmenistan constitutes the southern route of this project. Therefore, Beijing postulates Turkmenistan as a strategic partner. Besides, compared to the China-Kazakhstan-Uzbekistan-Turkmenistan-Iran line, the Chinese-Kazakh-Turkmen-Iranian line has a more affordable price for the transportation of goods. The reason for this is that the railway passes through two countries rather than three. Thereby, those who transport goods from Iran to China or vice versa tend to prefer this route. In sum, Turkmenistan plays a key role in China’s “New Silk Road” project.

The adjacency of Turkmenistan with Afghanistan requires Ashgabat become considered with the security of Kabul. In this regard, Ashgabat which supports the economic development of Afghanistan also conduces to its stability. Within this framework, railway lines broadened between Turkmenistan and Afghanistan can be evaluated as Ashgabat’s New Silk Road policy. Traditionally, during the Soviet period, the city of Serhetabat in Turkmenistan and Torghundi in Afghanistan were connected by rail. With the initiative of the Turkmen administration the line was reopened for use in 2007 and by the end of 2017 plans to extend the line from Torghundi to Herat commenced. With the completion of the 100km Torghundi-Herat railway, Herat, the principal city in North-Western Afghanistan will be connected to Central Asian rail lines and have access to the Caspian Sea via Turkmenistan. The second rail line connects the city of Aqina in Faryab province of Afghanistan with the city of Kerki (Atamyrat) via Imamnazar of Turkmenistan. The line which was inaugurated in 2016 will become a branch of the Northern Railway Line — which passes through Andkhoy — once the Herat – Mazar-i Sharif line is completed. These projects are concrete examples of Ashgabat’s resolve on regional stability.

As a result, it could be said that Turkmenistan has utilised its strategic position subtlety for economic development. With the visionary policies of President Berdimuhamedov, Turkmenistan is being transformed into a hub for regional trade and transportation. When Ashgabat’s New Silk Road policy is assessed, it clearly confers with centuries-old Turkoman history. As a matter of fact, the cities of Nisa, Konye-Urgench and Merv which are located within Turkmenistan had been centres for international trade in ancient times. In this respect, we can say that the project “Turkmenistan; the Heart of the Great Silk Road” which the Turkmen administration purloined on the historical and future basis, will further advance the international reputation of Ashgabat.

Prof. Dr. Mehmet Seyfettin EROL
Prof. Dr. Mehmet Seyfettin EROL
Born in 1969, Dörtyol-Hatay, Prof. Dr. Mehmet Seyfettin Erol graduated from Boğaziçi University (BU), Department of Political Science and International Relations in 1993. After completing his master's degree at BU in 1995, Erol was accepted to the PhD program at BU in the same year. After completing his PhD at Ankara University in 2005, Erol became an associate professor in the field of “International Relations” in 2009 and a professor in 2014. Erol worked at the Eurasian Center for Strategic Studies (ASAM) between 2000 and 2006 and and served as the General Coordinator of ASAM for a period. In 2009, he served as also Founding Chairman and Board Member of the Institute for Strategic Thinking (SDE). He is also the Founding President of the Center for International Strategy and Security Studies (USGAM) and the President of the International Relations Institute of the New Türkiye Strategic Research Center (YTSAM). Prof. Erol has also served as the Director of Gazi University Strategic Research Center (GAZISAM). In 2007, Prof. Erol received the “Turkish World Service Award” from the Writers and Artists Foundation of the Turkic World (TÜRKSAV), and has received numerous awards for his academic work and his activities in the media. Some of them can be listed as follows: 2013 “Print Media of the Year Award” by the Association of Contemporary Democrats, 2015 “APM 10th Year Service Award”, “2015 Press-Intellectual of the Year Award” by the Writers' Union of Türkiye (YTB), “2016 Volunteer Ambassadors Media Honor Award” by the Anatolian Village Guards and Martyrs' Families, “2016 Türkiye Honor Award” by the Yoruk Turkmen Federations. Prof. Erol has 15 book studies. The names of some of them are as follows: “The United States of Turks from Dream to Reality”, “Türkiye-EU Relations: Foreign Policy and Internal Structure Problems”, “The New Great Game in Eurasia”, “The Search for Strategy in Turkish Foreign Policy”, “The Search for Security in Turkish Foreign Policy”, “The Republic of Türkiye-Russian Federation Relations”, “The Cold Organization of Hot Peace: The New NATO”, “Theoretical Approaches in Foreign Policy Analysis: The Case of Turkish Foreign Policy”, “Crises and Crisis Management: Actors and Case Studies”, “Kazakhstan” and “Current Issues in International Relations”. Since 2002, Prof. Erol, who has carried out radio programs such as “Eurasia Agenda”, “Strategic Perspective”, “Global Perspective”, “Analysis”, “File”, “News Desk”, “The Other Side of the Agenda” on TRT Türkiye's voice and TRT Radio 1 (Ankara Radio), made the programs “Arayış” on TRT INT television between 2004-2007, “Beyond the Border” on Kanal A television between 2007-2010 and “Foreign Policy Agenda” on BBN TÜRK television in 2020-2021. Prof. Erol, whose foreign policy column “Arayış” was published in Milli Gazete between 2012-2018, is consulted for his expertise in numerous national and international media outlets such as television, radio, newspapers, news websites and magazines. Prof. Erol, who also taught at Gazi University Department of International Relations and Ankara University Latin American Studies Center (LAMER) between 2006-2018, has been continuing his academic career as a faculty member at Ankara Hacı Bayram Veli University Department of International Relations since 2018. Since 2006, Prof. Erol has also taught in the Department of Political Science and International Relations at Ufuk University. The main areas of interest and expertise of Prof. Erol and the titles of his courses at the undergraduate, master's and doctoral levels in this area are as follows: “Geopolitics”, “Security”, “Intelligence”, “Crisis Management”, “Current Issues in International Relations”, “Turkish Foreign Policy”, “Russian Foreign Policy”, “US Foreign Policy” and “Central Asia and South Asia”. Prof. Erol, whose articles-evaluations have been published in many journals and newspapers, has been editor of academic journals such as “Eurasia File”, “Strategic Analysis”, “Strategic Thinking”, “Gazi Regional Studies”, “The Journal of SSPS”, “Black Sea Studies”. He is currently in the editorial boards of “Regional Studies,” “International Crisis and Political Research,” “Gazi Academic View”, “Ege University Turkish World Surveys”, “Ankara International Social Sciences”, “Democracy Platform”. Prof. Erol, who has been working as the Founding President of the Ankara Center for Crisis and Political Studies (ANKASAM) since 2016, is married and has three children.