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“Ottoman Slap” in Turkish-US Relations

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It is evident that Turkey’s offensive towards obliterating the terror corridor in Northern Syria and Iraq will lead to deeper and broader results in Turkish-West relations, especially in the US dimension. The most basic indication of this is the recent declarations made by parties that are overwhelming and exorbitant.

At this point, the hesitant attitude of the US is quite remarkable. This demeanour can either be considered as internal conflict and confusion towards Turkey or a necessity for a multidimensional psychological operation carried within military-political, diplomatic, media context. Another good cop bad cop game by the US.

However, the plans of Neo-Cons outweigh the others since they never get along well with Turkey. This is because projects initiated after September 11 in the Turkish-Islamic world has been disrupted. Hence, there is a sense of rage and reckoning.

It is understood that the US is willing to materialise its failed “New Turkish Republic” model through a direct “occupation” rather than indirect means of “evolution”, “revolution” and “coup”. The “satellite/legion state” being planned in this context is a “part/tool” of this aim. In other words, the US is setting up “occupation units” on the other side of the border.

This is also the underlying reason for the Pentagon to effectuate “Border Protection Units” which will not be limited to Syria. This unit, established under the leadership of SDF and consisting of PYD/PKK terror units will be posted to Syria and Iraq’s northern borders.

The statements of Eric Edelman, former US Ambassador to Ankara and Lieutenant General Paul E. Funk, the top US commander in Iraq are essential in assessing the determination and commitment of the US.

Thus, the declaration of Turkey “as an ally out of control” which should be responded to with “tough actions” by Edelman and assertion of Funkin that they will remain in Munbij and if necessary counter with “aggressive action” are clear indications of US tenacity in protecting PYD/PKK.

Allegations mainly by US Department of State and Pentagon that the operation carried out by Turkish Armed Forces and Free Syrian Army in Northern Syria against PYD-YPG/PKK/SDF terror organisations has caused infirmities should be considered as “legitimacy milestone” for occupation rather than a retraction. The US is postulating to penalise its “old ally” with its “new partner”.

It is self-evident that the US, which is currently occupying and envisioning to establish a “state within a state” in Syria, is aiming to target the Eurasia centric emerging East. For this, the US is even ready to be at war with Turkey.

Turkey is the backbone of the emerging East against the collapsing West. If the fortitude of Ankara is devastated, Iran, Pakistan and eventually Russia will be next in line. Russia aware of this situation has taken the necessary actions since 2015. China’s announcement that it will show presence in Syria is another indication of aligning against US’s scheme.

Therefore, this process is quite troublesome for the US. Thus, it is continuously attacking and pressuring Ankara to “make a choice”, just like was the case in 2007.

At that time, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, then Prime Minister of Turkey threatened to let relations to “drift away” while Chief of General Staff, General Yaşar Büyükanıt indicated that “the US constantly kept shooting itself in the foot”. A similar reaction was put forward by İlker Başbuğ, Commander of the Turkish Land Forces who expressed that “a war with the US is unlikely, however, the cost might be doubled”.

However, the current reaction is more rigid. The US is being forced into making preference or having the Ottoman slap. Ankara is also indicating that it will not hesitate to be at war with the US if necessary.

So, what if the US insists on going on its way? Well, they ought to peg out. The issue is this simple!

Prof. Dr. Mehmet Seyfettin EROL
Prof. Dr. Mehmet Seyfettin EROL
Born in 1969, Dörtyol-Hatay, Prof. Dr. Mehmet Seyfettin Erol graduated from Boğaziçi University (BU), Department of Political Science and International Relations in 1993. After completing his master's degree at BU in 1995, Erol was accepted to the PhD program at BU in the same year. After completing his PhD at Ankara University in 2005, Erol became an associate professor in the field of “International Relations” in 2009 and a professor in 2014. Erol worked at the Eurasian Center for Strategic Studies (ASAM) between 2000 and 2006 and and served as the General Coordinator of ASAM for a period. In 2009, he served as also Founding Chairman and Board Member of the Institute for Strategic Thinking (SDE). He is also the Founding President of the Center for International Strategy and Security Studies (USGAM) and the President of the International Relations Institute of the New Türkiye Strategic Research Center (YTSAM). Prof. Erol has also served as the Director of Gazi University Strategic Research Center (GAZISAM). In 2007, Prof. Erol received the “Turkish World Service Award” from the Writers and Artists Foundation of the Turkic World (TÜRKSAV), and has received numerous awards for his academic work and his activities in the media. Some of them can be listed as follows: 2013 “Print Media of the Year Award” by the Association of Contemporary Democrats, 2015 “APM 10th Year Service Award”, “2015 Press-Intellectual of the Year Award” by the Writers' Union of Türkiye (YTB), “2016 Volunteer Ambassadors Media Honor Award” by the Anatolian Village Guards and Martyrs' Families, “2016 Türkiye Honor Award” by the Yoruk Turkmen Federations. Prof. Erol has 15 book studies. The names of some of them are as follows: “The United States of Turks from Dream to Reality”, “Türkiye-EU Relations: Foreign Policy and Internal Structure Problems”, “The New Great Game in Eurasia”, “The Search for Strategy in Turkish Foreign Policy”, “The Search for Security in Turkish Foreign Policy”, “The Republic of Türkiye-Russian Federation Relations”, “The Cold Organization of Hot Peace: The New NATO”, “Theoretical Approaches in Foreign Policy Analysis: The Case of Turkish Foreign Policy”, “Crises and Crisis Management: Actors and Case Studies”, “Kazakhstan” and “Current Issues in International Relations”. Since 2002, Prof. Erol, who has carried out radio programs such as “Eurasia Agenda”, “Strategic Perspective”, “Global Perspective”, “Analysis”, “File”, “News Desk”, “The Other Side of the Agenda” on TRT Türkiye's voice and TRT Radio 1 (Ankara Radio), made the programs “Arayış” on TRT INT television between 2004-2007, “Beyond the Border” on Kanal A television between 2007-2010 and “Foreign Policy Agenda” on BBN TÜRK television in 2020-2021. Prof. Erol, whose foreign policy column “Arayış” was published in Milli Gazete between 2012-2018, is consulted for his expertise in numerous national and international media outlets such as television, radio, newspapers, news websites and magazines. Prof. Erol, who also taught at Gazi University Department of International Relations and Ankara University Latin American Studies Center (LAMER) between 2006-2018, has been continuing his academic career as a faculty member at Ankara Hacı Bayram Veli University Department of International Relations since 2018. Since 2006, Prof. Erol has also taught in the Department of Political Science and International Relations at Ufuk University. The main areas of interest and expertise of Prof. Erol and the titles of his courses at the undergraduate, master's and doctoral levels in this area are as follows: “Geopolitics”, “Security”, “Intelligence”, “Crisis Management”, “Current Issues in International Relations”, “Turkish Foreign Policy”, “Russian Foreign Policy”, “US Foreign Policy” and “Central Asia and South Asia”. Prof. Erol, whose articles-evaluations have been published in many journals and newspapers, has been editor of academic journals such as “Eurasia File”, “Strategic Analysis”, “Strategic Thinking”, “Gazi Regional Studies”, “The Journal of SSPS”, “Black Sea Studies”. He is currently in the editorial boards of “Regional Studies,” “International Crisis and Political Research,” “Gazi Academic View”, “Ege University Turkish World Surveys”, “Ankara International Social Sciences”, “Democracy Platform”. Prof. Erol, who has been working as the Founding President of the Ankara Center for Crisis and Political Studies (ANKASAM) since 2016, is married and has three children.